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The live view
The current 15-minute window as the system reads it: the target, the live price, the strength of the read — and the lock, the moment every gate passes and it freezes.
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How to read this page
- Target: the 60-second average of the official index set when the window opened. The closing average at or above it settles "up"; below it, "down".
- Cushion: how far the live price sits from the target, scaled by volatility — the core measurement behind the model read.
- The lock: when the read is strong enough for the time left and the price is inside the cap, the call freezes — one per window, at most. Win or lose, it is graded against the official settlement and published on the record.
- Two prices, kept separate: when a lock freezes, the panel shows the frozen lock price on its own line; what the contract trades at now sits below it. The live price moving after the lock never rewrites the lock.
- Sitting out is the default. Most windows never lock. A quiet page is the system working as designed.
QuarterLine is an educational information service. It is not financial advice, it does not place trades for you, and it is not affiliated with Kalshi. Prediction-market contracts are risky and can lose their full value.